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Joined 14 days ago
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Cake day: January 29th, 2025

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  • I’m not sure that an international comparison would be too useful when it comes to estimate future population growth or decline, because we see a trend in many countries that people don’t marry, although they raise children. That’s not necessarily the case in China, but supposedly in many European countries. For a population forecast I would guess the birth rate (fertility rate) is a more apt metric.

    Addition: Fertility rate appears to be lowest in China worldwide, EU and the U.S. are a bit higher. You can see these and other countries here (you can search for other countries using the search field at the top of the diagram in the link).